Dev log 11: the stop-loss that lived in RAM, and the AI that had no edge
Part 14 of the Cairn series. This one is off the main road: it is about the paper-trading stock funds that run on the same home server as the rest of this work. I asked a panel of AI models why the funds never sold their losers and how to make them profitable. The answer was not the one I expected, and part of it was my own mistake. This is all paper money, and nothing here is financial advice. The question The funds are simulated. Each one holds a basket of picks chosen by a council of AI models, and none of it involves real money. I noticed that stocks down 30 percent were still held, and stocks up a lot were never trimmed. I asked, more or less, why the AI was not smarter than a person with a stop-loss. Then I asked for a plan to make the funds as profitable as possible. What the council found I put the numbers in front of five models and asked for a diagnosis. Two findings stood out. The AI verdict has no edge. Over seven days, stocks the council called BULLISH returned an ...